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Are too many ideas killing your innovation efforts?

By Michael A. Dalton

How can having too many ideas be bad for your new product success?

Sounds counterintuitive doesn't it? Well, the problem isn't actually the number of ideas generated. The problem is allowing too many of them into the product development process at the same time. Hedging your bets across too many projects creates unnecessary delays in cash flow and actually increases your risk. In this article, I will share an approach that you can use to manage your pipeline.

Let's start with an example:

  • We have 2 new product ideas
  • Both can generate $1 million a year in cash flow
  • They have an equal probability of success
  • Each idea will require the efforts of 10 people for six months (60 work months)
  • We have 10 people available to work on these projects

How should we prioritize our resources for these projects? Frequently we compromise and put five people on each of them. Let's compare two scenarios to see why there's a better way.

Scenario 1: We compromise and split the effort so that we can do both at the same timely. For now, we'll ignore any shared resource constraints that might actually overlap and result in the two projects taking longer. With five people working on each idea, both programs are completed and ready for market launch at the end of 12 months.

Scenario 2: In a focused, sequential approach, we put all 10 available people on Project A and are able to launch in six months. It's possible that we could finish even sooner since individual productivity increases when we eliminate multi-tasking; we'll ignore that for the time being. After finishing Project A at the end of the first six months, the team then moves over and spends the next six months on Project B. It's ready for market launch at the end of the twelfth month.

So what's the difference? It still takes twelve months to finish the two projects.

The important difference is that in a focused approach, one product launches six months earlier and generates an extra $500,000 during that period. That's half the time that it would have taken in Scenario 1, without any delay on the second project. On average, our two projects get to market in nine months. That's a 25% improvement in time to market with no additional resources or costs and an increase in cash flow.

However, in the real world, most companies try to run far more than two projects at the same time. Make this same comparison with 5 projects and you are close in on a 50% reduction in time to market (18 months vs. 30 months) not to mention the boost in early cash flow. One industrial products client that tried this approach moved from 25 projects down to five projects. As a result, they reduced project cycle time from 36 months down to less than a year: more than a 65% reduction in time to launch with no additional resources.

The advantage of sequential innovation projects

One of the biggest concerns I hear when discussing this approach with management teams is risk management. "We can't put all of our eggs in one basket." In fact, a more sequential, focused approach reduces risk. Getting some projects done sooner reduces the market risk of competitors getting to market first. Additionally, delaying the commitment point on the next opportunity adds flexibility. In our example, if the market for Project B were to erode before we finished Project A, we could move to Project C. In this case, the sequential approach saves us from working on a troubled project by allowing us to reprioritize based on the latest and best information. This leads me to an important tool that you'll need to implement this approach: the idea bucket.

The idea bucket

In order to effectively maximize the flow through your new product development pipeline, you need to keep a prioritized bucket of new product ideas and opportunities. Making decisions like this can be difficult. People worry that good ideas will be forgotten when you narrow your focus to fewer projects. That's where the idea bucket comes in to play. It collects every new product idea so that they can be evaluated against success criteria, and ranked by a cross-functional leadership team.

Using a baseball analogy, the idea bucket separates opportunities into four categories:

1. Rookies: All ideas enter at this stage. An opportunity evaluation team assesses them for strategic fit and commercial, technical and manufacturing feasibility. After assessment, they are either sent back for rework or are put in the batting order.

2. Batting lineup: You assess, rank and place projects into a prioritized order. However, unlike baseball, you can revise the batting order to reflect the latest conditions.

3. On-deck circle: The next project you will start when resources become available.

4. Not ready for the majors: Some ideas just don't fit with the company's current strategy or business environment and don't warrant re-work. Since we want to encourage new ideas, we archive the less qualified ideas so that we can revisit them if changes warrant.

Of course, you also need to communicate these priorities so that folks in your organization know the ever-evolving priorities. If you run a larger company, your corporate intranet can host collaboration software where your people can submit project ideas and you can communicate project status. If you are a smaller company, consider low cost or free collaboration tools like Google Apps. These allow you to set up password protected, intranet type websites where your team can submit, view, contribute and even help prioritize new product ideas.

The more impact bottom line

Letting too many good ideas into your new product process at the same time has just the opposite effect that you would hope. It slows time to market and increases new product risk. Instead, focusing your resources on fewer projects sequentially, rather than more projects simultaneously, results in earlier cash flow while still completing all projects in the same time. Additionally, it increases flexibility and reduces risk since you can delay making resource commitments for the later projects. A prioritized idea bucket helps manage your pipeline to ensure a continued flow of new opportunities.

Mike Dalton's Guided Innovation Group helps companies that are struggling to get more impact from their new product innovation investment. Companies using the Guided Innovation System for continuous innovation improvement see more growth impact from their new products in less time. If you want to take on your innovation issues, download the firm's free report on continuous innovation improvement. You can also subscribe to Mike's twice-monthly eZine here.

Published on 6/16/2009


Comments:

8/5/2009 by: Mike Dalton
BB, your comment is well taken. Clearly, there is a staffing level on any project where people are actually stepping on each others toes. But....I rarely see companies operate anywhere close to that point. Usually they operate closer to the other end of the spectrum with people spread too thin. If it were otherwise you wouldn't see so many companies struggling with delays. With Regards, Mike Dalton


6/18/2009 by: Tony Wanless
Perhaps another strong argument for sequential product launches is that it is also good marketing. A company that launches a blizzard of (often semi-defective) products at the same time appears to be desperately shotgunning: The company that consistently launches well-made innovative products on a regular schedule appears to have a strong handle on its business planning. This creates a powerful halo effect among buyers, employees, and investors


6/17/2009 by: BB
This is an interesting idea. However, I wonder about the assumption that twice as many people (the team is twice as large) means that a project can be completed in half the time...not according to the "Mythical Man-Month" idea.



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